Posted tagged ‘middle east’


February 22, 2011

Erle Frayne D. Argonza


Good day to you fellow global citizens!


Political turbulence is manifestly the most featured template of the day for Arab republics. The bone of contention by polarized forces is whether to extend incumbent presidents’ terms. So let me share some reflective notes about the intriguing subject.


As a keen observer of political economic events, I can verily see that Arab republics have the penchant for electing presidents who would be chief execs for life. In the Vatican they do the same: elect a Pope for life. Albeit, the Vatican is no republic but a theocracy that has evolved its own structures, processes and culture through time, and so the Vatican’s chief exec can sit prettily for life unhampered by possible protests that would see His Holiness’ overthrow.


Republics are modern forms of states, and Arab republics chose democratic governance as the process for choosing leaders and/or policy-makers. Expectedly, republics must show exemplary behavior by changing national leaders periodically and give way to others who are perceived as responsible and capable of meeting the job expectations of a chief exec.


Even the Peoples Republic of China follows the norms of governance for choosing leaders. True, the Communist Party has a monopoly of governance in the rising star of Asia, but Chinese do choose the leaders from among qualified Communist cadres. Since after Deng Shao Ping, no one has ever become president or prime minister for life, so nobody can ever satirically remark a “Pope Hu Jintao” to denigrate China’s very capable president.


Unfortunately, the Arab presidencies haven’t been complying with the accepted norms of republican leadership. Take the case of Iraq that was for a long time governed by “Pope Saddam” as chief exec. “Pope Saddam” seems to be the model of the presidents of Syria, Libya, Egypt, Tunisia, Yemen, Sudan, Syria, and other Arab states that traversed the republican trajectory of statehood.


Had it been clearly stipulated in the charters of the republican states that their respective presidents will be chief execs for life, the constituents will not begrudge the nation’s echelon whatsoever. But that isn’t the case, as charters do clearly stipulate the fixed terms for chief execs, and that is where tensions can arise in the course of tenures of over-staying presidents.


Grand deceptions can indeed be cooked and cooked well so as to be digested by obedient herds of constituents, as the Arab presidencies have perpetually flaunted on their folks. But no one can fool all the people all the time, and sooner or later there will be outbursts of detractions coming from a diversity of oppositionist forces.


The Arab republics’ Permanent President (with capital letters to stress the point) had already come full circle, and can no longer be recycled in an unending vicious circle. The phenomenon of ‘rising expectations’ has finally caught up with the system of national governance of perpetuity, thus causing huge explosions of public outrage across the said states.


Regime change’ is now the most urgent task falling upon the shoulders of responsible constituents. Relentless protests are waged, akin to the protests waged versus military dictatorships in developing states in Latin America and Asia in the 1980s and ‘90s.


Portugal’s parallel overthrow of its long-term dictatorship took place much earlier in the 1970s. Dubbed as the ‘velvet revolution’, it was followed a bit later by the Philippine ‘people power’ revolution that overthrew the dictator Marcos. The same phenomenon of massive, relentless protests marked the political landscape in these countries and others that was capped by the overthrow of the existing permanent presidents.


Arabs are latecomers in the matter of people empowerment, but it is “better late than never.” The die has been cast on the side of people power, and so one by one shall the permanent presidents be taken down. Arab republics’ constituencies are showing courage and audacity in fomenting change, risking lives and limbs to achieve the goal of reforms, and they are inspired by the recent precedents of Tunisia and Egypt.


The momentum of change through people power has already picked up. Arab presidents should better heed the demands for their graceful exits now, or else they face the option of a full-scale civil war of which no one will be winner in the long-run.


[Philippines, 18 February 2011]




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August 24, 2010

Erle Frayne D. Argonza

Good evening from the Philippines’ suburban boondocks!

Just a couple of weeks back, this analyst wrote and published briefer articles about the forthcoming war between pan-Semitic Zion-Sunni alliance and Persia (Shiite Iran). Barely had I rested from the theme of racial awakenings and the coming conflict, when news came out that Israel is now preparing to combat Iran head-on.

Just about a couple of days ago, I wind up of news from the internet economic intelligence reports that Israel is indeed preparing for a unilateral military strike on Iran. Accordingly, the United States is not privy to this conflict, even as its hands are heavily tied up in procuring peace between Israel and Palestine (the efforts will pay off eventually as I forecast rightly).

Accordingly, political groups from Israel who represent both Likud and Labor are strongly opposed to the unilateral strike, and are doing what they can to stamp out the planned action. The same anti-war forces have uncovered an agreement between the Israeli premier and the defense establishment to seal the strike plan and commence with war exercises pronto.

Meanwhile, reports had it that former intelligence officials of Israel, who are opposed to the war, have unwind of the Israeli military exercises now going on inside Romania. As to when the exercises will be concluded will be the subject of some more extra information gathering.

As per assessment from the oppositors themselves and from independent analysts, the combat missions will be launched in the months ahead. Let it be stressed again: MONTHS AHEAD and not years ahead of the present juncture.

A war with Iran will surely be an expensive one, and needed to be bankrolled by certain oligarchic forces. We can only surmise, based on near-catastrophic economic events in Europe, that the Anglo-European oligarchy is desperate to recoup from possible losses in the financial-monetary markets precisely by propping up their favorite currencies (dollar, pounds, euros, yen) through a calculated politico-military turbulence in Western Asia.

The bankrollers’ home point to Europe as far as our analysis holds. The same oligarchs are aching to prop up the dollar through derivative market gimmickries that have, as of late, been proving to be dead end solutions to their greed accumulations. Bankrupt with ideas as to how the financial-monetary system they built for centuries can still hold up to the global economic roof, they are now planning to unleash the propping up of oil price via a war.

The oligarchs’ own financial looting agenda incidentally coheres with the Arab sheikhdoms’ agenda of inflating their own oil, local currencies and the dollar for the same purpose, with the addition that the sheikhs mortally dread Shiite Iran. As already articulated by me before, such a dread springs from the ancient unconscious dread of Persia, a dread that is now re-surfacing after almost 2000 years of dormancy.

We won’t be surprised if the sheikhdoms will partly bankroll Israel’s frontal combat missions, with part of the cash registers shouldered by the Rothschild & Soros and financier circles. Not only that, the sheikhdoms may offer the bonus of permitting the use their territories for Israeli flight passes, landing, refueling, even for depository of military ordnance.

The dread of Persia is very extensive, which covers the entire ancient territories of Assyria-Canaan-Hyksos-Hamites-Berbers-Nubians. That’s a whopping 5-6 million square miles of territories populated today by over 500 million people, from Western Asia up to the western tip of North Africa (belt of lands north of the Sahara).

That does not include yet the peoples of the ancient empire of Bharat (India) that have confronted Persia’s might in antiquity. Pakistan, Kashmir, Afghanistan and central Asian states represent those territories and their descendants today.

For sure, those peoples and territories mentioned are now watching the unfolding events very closely. As the military preparations will build up, so will the tensions build up, backed up by negotiations about the alliances to be formed.

It is too early to see the exact membership of alliances from each side. For now, we can only presume that the axes of conflict will be the Zion Israel-Sunni Arab axis on one hand, and the Shiite Iran-Hezbollah-Hamas axis on the other hand. There will be fill-in-the-blanks on either side as the war nears, with horse trading done below the table.

Let’s all better observe the events closely, as this war won’t just be confined between Israel and Iran. Even before Christmas, the shaping war will sicken the world’s diverse bourses from West to East, thus leaving a bad taste to our annual Christmas and year-ender celebrations.

[Philippines, 23 August 2012]







August 2, 2010

Erle Frayne D. Argonza

Zion is courting Sunni and vice versa, courtesy of neo-conservative technocrats from Pentagon in tandem with the agents of the Anglo-European oligarchy. The enemy that both camps have to confront—Shiite Persia—is a very determined one and is arming to the teeth to advance its own interest.

Scrape both Zion and Sunni off the surface, and one can easily reveal the ancient Semitic bloodline that runs in both camps. The same Semites who for millennia fought for survival against the might of Persia, are now uniting to face Persia once again in a last war that fits well into the narrative of the last battle between the forces of Ahriman  versus those of Ahura Mazda.

Cross over to the Shiite camp and do the same: scrape off Shiite Islam from the surface. Voila! The Persian bloodline is revealed to the observer in a very kindergarten fashion of quiz. Persia is resurfacing, Persian psyche that was long dormant is reviving, and sooner or later the empire that was so hated by its neighbors may come rampaging again to harass and conquer (if it can) the potentates of the ancient empire.

Racial consciousness, an awareness that operates on the collective level, doesn’t seem to die at all. At some juncture in the future, the dormant racial consciousness of a people may re-awaken again. I see this ancient racial consciousness re-awakening in today’s context when the borderline between reason and madness has been effectively erased.

Such is the case of the Semitic peoples, who were bred from the bloodlines of the Levantine Canaanites and the Sumerians. The Canaanites were a colored people while the Sumerians were white or Caucasian. The resulting race was a hybrid psyche that is suited to the rough and tough terrains of the Levant, Arabian peninsula, and North Africa’s sand dunes.

Indubitably, the Semites have competed against each other for millennia, this is beyond question. The future Arabs warred against each other, and so did the future Jews had their own conflicts. Hebrew-Arab conflict likewise brewed and boiled caldrons, conflicts whose embers haven’t ceased to die till now.

For some time, pan-Arabism served as a cementing force with which to unite the warring Arab tribes against an aggressive Zion. Real as the Zion-Arab conflict may seem, that reality can always get erased as soon as the line of polarity shifts.

With the decline of pan-Arabism came the advent of fundamentalist Islam represented by Shiite revivalism, a radical version of Islam that seeks to destroy both Zion and de-fang Western-collaborating Sunni sheikhdoms.

The advent of Shiite revivalism is indubitably the cementing force that is now uniting both Hebrews and Arabs together. No matter how superficial the Zion-Sunni coalition may appear for now, the superficiality will fade once the ferocity of Shiite Persia will be demonstrated with determined zeal in a war versus the coalition.

To this analyst, Zion and Sunni are no strange bedfellows. The genetic-psychical unity that is deeply embedded in the very DNA of all Semites is the decisive factor that will determine who should be friends versus a perceived predatory enemy, and such an enemy is no other than Persia in its new form as Shiite Islam.

No longer pan-Arabism but pan-Semitism is the order of the day. Pan-Semitism in the aegis of globalization is a borderless racial re-awakening. It is interesting to watch the formation of the contours of the emerging coalition as a surfacing of ancient unity and hatred versus a neo-Persian empire in the neighborhood.

[Philippines, 22 July 2010]